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    Week Outlook 6-10 January 2025;
    07.01.2025

    Week Outlook 6-10 January 2025;

    Week Outlook 6-10 January 2025;

    Week Outlook 6-10 January 2025;

    However, we observed that volatility increased again, especially on the Turkish side. Last week, inflation figures from Turkey were announced. Consumer price index figures in Turkey were announced as 44.38%, while expectations were around 45.20%. This week, unemployment figures from Turkey will continue to be the main focus of the markets!

    Week Outlook 6-10 January 2025;

    On the US front, ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Price Index figures were announced last week. While the expectations were 48.2, it was announced as 49.3! This week, critical data from the USA will be announced! Especially the developments in the employment market continue to be the main focus of the market! In order to expect a continuation of the interest rate cut from the FED, there must be a decrease in inflation, a deterioration in unemployment or a problem in growth so that we can expect the FED to continue the interest rate cut. This week is EMPLOYMENT week... On Tuesday; We will be following JOLTS data on Job Opportunities and Personnel Change Rate. We will be following ADP Non-Farm Employment and Unemployment Benefit Applications data on Wednesday.

    Week Outlook 6-10 January 2025;


    On the last trading day of the week, we will be following the critical Non-Farm Employment and Unemployment Rate data. In particular, the possibility of a deterioration in TDI and Unemployment supports the interest rate cut by the FED and we can observe upward movements on the ounce gold side as the Dollar index weakens. Otherwise, a firm stance on unemployment may lead to fewer interest rate cuts in the FED‘s interest rate policy. In this case, sales on the ounce gold side may become harsher.


    Warning: The information, comments and recommendations contained herein are not within the scope of investment consultancy. Investment consultancy services are offered individually, taking into account people‘s risk and return preferences. The content, comments and recommendations contained herein are of a general nature and are not guiding in any way. These recommendations may not suit your financial situation and risk and return preferences. Therefore, making an investment decision based solely on the information contained herein may not produce results that meet your expectations.


    DAY

    HOUR

    FOREIGN CURRENCY

    EVENT

    EXPECTATION

    FORMER

    MONDAY

     

    04:45

     

    CNY

     

    Caixin Service Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) (Dec)

     

    51,4

     

    51,5

    12:00

    EUR

    Service Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) (Dec)

    51,4

    49,5

    12:30

    GBP

    Service Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) (Dec)

    51,4

    50,8

    16:00

    EUR

    Germany Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Monthly) (Dec)

    0,3%

    -0,2%

    17:45

    USD

    Service Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) (Dec)

    58,5

    56,1

    TUESDAY

     

    10:30

     

    CHF

     

    Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Monthly) (Dec)

     

    -0,1%

     

    -0,1%

    13:00

    EUR

    Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Annual) (Dec)

    2,7%

    2,7%

    13:00

    EUR

    Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Annual) (Dec)

    2,4%

    2,2%

    13:00

    EUR

    Unemployment Rate (Nov)

    6,3%

    6,3%

    18:00

    USD

    ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers‘ Index (PMI) (Dec.)

    53,2

    52,1

    18:00

    USD

    Job Opportunities and Staff Turnover Rate (JOLTS) (Nov)

    7,770M

    7,744M

    WEDNESDAY

     

    13:05

     

    GBP

     

    Speech by BoE Vice Governor Woods

     

    -

     

    -

    16:15

    USD

    ADP Non-Farm Employment (Interim)

    131K

    146K

    16:30

    USD

    Speech by FED Member Waller

    -

    -

    18:30

    USD

    Energy Information Administration Crude Oil Stocks

    -

    -1,178M

    22:00

    USD

    Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes

    -

    -

    THURSDAY


    04:30

     

    CNY

     

    China Consumer Price Index (CPI) (Annual) (Dec)

     

    0,1%

     

    0,2%

    04:30

    CNY

    China Producer Price Index (PPI) (Annual) (Dec)

    -2,5%

    -2,5%

    10:00

    EUR

    Germany Industrial Production (Monthly) (Nov)

    0,5%

    -1,0%

    16:30

    USD

    Applications for Unemployment Benefits

    210K

    211K

    17:00

    USD

    Speech by FOMC Member Harker

    -

    -

    21:30

    USD

    Speech by FOMC Member Bowman

    -

    -

    FRIDAY


    10:00

     

    TRY

    Unemployment Rate (Monthly) (Nov)

     

    -

     

    8,8%

    16:30

    USD

    Average Hourly Earnings (Monthly) (Dec)

    0,3%

    0,4%

    16:30

    USD

    Non-Farm Employment (Dec.)

    154K

    227K

    16:30

    USD

    Unemployment Rate (Dec)

    4,2%

    4,2%

    18:00

    USD

    Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jan)

    74,5

    74,0